The NOAA Storm Prediction Center is keeping an eye on a system that is anticipated to produce some potentially severe weather later in the day on Friday, March 2, 2012. Shown here is the North American Model output for March 3, 2012, at 0z (7:00 p.m. EST on March 2). There is a high probability of thunderstorm activity stretching along a belt from the Gulf of Mexico through Ohio. SPC’s Day 2 Convective Outlook for March 2, 2012 (issued on March 1), indicates a moderate risk of convective activity (i.e., thunderstorms development, with strong winds and possible hail and tornadoes) from for Mississippi, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky, Indiana and Ohio. Though the term “moderate risk” may not seem all that worrisome, such advisories from SPC are quite strong and should be taken with great care.